Saturday, November 27, 2010

Korea's Divide! My First Rifle!

By Reginald Kaigler (Youtuber DEMCAD)

Today, Residents of Yeonpyeong Island had told to evacuate as South Korea warns of an attack by South Korea. The order claimed five days after a North Korean artillery attack. The strange thing is that the order was lifted 15 minutes after a resident count. There was only several hundred people left on the island, but something freaked the South Koreans out. Very strange, indeed. So we have tensions building between the Koreas, while the U.S. and South Korea working on military drills. Is this the vest time for a war drill?

My First Rifle

In personal news, I finally decided to buy a rifle. Before today, I had my short-term and home defense covered with my Mossberg 500 pump action shotgun and my Glock 21 (chambered in .45 caliber), but not I have a hunting rifle. It's an economy rifle, but it will get the job done. It's a Mossberg Maverick Bolt Action 30-06 Rifle. I choose 30-06 because it was the most common caliber in my area (Michigan). I needed a gun under 300 that I could add a scope and hit targets at 200 yards. So this was my choice. Now, I need to convince a buddy to go hunting with me. Wish me luck!

South Korea Issues Alert on Yeonpyeong Island

Tuesday, November 23, 2010

DEMCAD: If Disaster Strikes...

By Reginald Kaigler (DEMCAD)

No one knows what the future holds, but a wise person hopes for the best and perhaps the worse. I don't know if America will face a dollar crisis, major terrorist attack, financial collapse, economic collapse or an epic natural disaster. But I do know that I want to be prepared for whatever comes my way. Now, I am the first to admit that I am not as prepared as I would like to be. I am a very low-income prepper (one who prepares for emergencies), but I have been making progress over the last 2 years. I started by collecting cans of food.

I didn't go all in, but I did buy some extra cans every time I went to the grocery store. I made sure I had plenty of fruits, vegetables, corn beef harsh, beans, chili, fish and chicken in a can. I never got around to canning my own food, but I've at least set a foundation for my survival. Next, I started to save my V8 bottles and fill them up with water. I stored them in my refrigerator, as I still do, and later bought large containers from Walmart and filled them with water.

The next step was to acquire a firearm. I started off with a Mossberg 500 for home defense and bought a Glock 21 (chambered in .45 caliber) for personal protection.

I also created an emergency bag (aka bug out bag) so that if I ever had to left my home, I would have the basic necessities. I tested some of this gear in the woods of Ketchikan, Alaska, so I know what works and what doesn't.

I used a rope to tie my sleeping bag (rated for 15 degrees) and three person tent to my external frame backpack. Inside the bag, I have a water filter, dry foods, magnesium fire starter, fishing line, fish hook, waterproof matches, a long lighter, small lighters, camp soap, canteen filled with water, knife and a multi-tool.

I'm currently looking for medicines to store. And I'm also considering buying a rifle for hunting. Like I said, my preparation is not perfect, but that doesn't mean that I'm going to sit on my ass and hope everything works out. I'm not saying that you should become a survivalist, but you must take basic steps to protect yourself and your family against disaster.

Note: You can find more social and political commentary on my youtube channel (DEMCAD).

Youtube Channels
DEMCAD2 Channel

You can also find me on



Friday, November 19, 2010

TSA Revolt! “National Opt Out Day”

Prison Style Search

I love Ron Paul's speech on the TSA power grab. He's introducing new legislation that would make it illegal for government employees to do anything that an ordinary citizen can't do. That means if a TSA does a pad down without probable cause, he or she could get to jail. Paul pretty much hit the nail on the head. Why should the government be involved in security for a private enterprise?

And how safe are these full body scanners? When if they malfunction? Could they expose passengers to unsafe levels of radiation? And why should a TSA worker be allowed to grab someone's testicles without probable cause?

Get ready, November 24th would become the “National Opt Out Day.”

Thursday, November 18, 2010

TSA Pushes People Too FAR!

Has the TSA finally crossed?

Actually, they crossed the line a long time ago. Now, the TSA is forcing people to go through a full body scanner that subjects passengers to necessary amounts of radiation. Let's put aside the health threat, which is very real, remember when the U.S. Marshals were busted storing images of people after the government lied its ass off by claiming that the full body scanner photos were always deleted? I do. The U.S. Marshals kept thousands of images of naked people.

Fortunately, people are fighting back. We have DA looking into prosecuting TSA workers, watchdog groups pursuit legal avenues and passengers demanding respect. When a male screener told John Tyler that he was going to inspect his groin, he response became an Internet sensation,

"If you touch my junk, I'm going to have you arrested."

Trends forecaster Gerald Celente appeared on Alex Jones' radio show to tear TSA a new one. It looks like Celente was right about that revolt. Earlier this year, he foresaw a revolt by the American people and this appears to be it. He made a great point about why the American people are finally responding.

"The reason why this is bringing such outrage is because the people are bring directly affected by it. They can feel it. Literally."

Celente continues by arguing that the reason why people were not outraged over the war is because there is no draft and that they were not directly impacted by the war(s).

Try not laugh, but that's what it takes to wake the American people up. They don't care about American soldiers dying in Iraq and Afghanistan for false causes, they don't care about Washington stealing their children's future to feed the greed of the criminal bankers on Wall Street, but if you put your hands down their pants and grab their groin, then they will finally objective.

Frankly, I didn't think people would objective until the bankers were literally threatening to rape their children, but apparently even Americans have their limit. Even the American people have some dignity, albeit, not much.

So is this the beginning of a bold new trend for the American people?

TSA Chief Defends New Patdown Procedure

Fed-up fliers protest airport security measures

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Temptation Can lead to Corruption!

Politico‘s Executive Editor Jim VandeHei went on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” to issue a warning to incoming Congressmen that maybe more important than I first realize. He warned incoming Congressmen to beware of the temptation of Washington. In a nutshell, VandeHei said that a lot of Congressmen (especially unattractive ones) are easily tempted by the attention they receive from young women.

"Especially unattractive members of the Congress who have not had women show attention to them maybe since college. They come here. Power is an aphrodisiac. Suddenly they have women who are interested in them. It’s a temptation some can’t withstand,” VandeHei explained.

Although Joe and Joe were laughing it up, it's important to realize the seriousness of the problem. Because when you think about it, this problem explains partly why Washington is so corrupt.

Imagine some 45 year married guy coming to Washington with a truly noble agenda. He has a daughter in college, a 16 year old son who wants to be a mechanical engineer and a 9 year old who plays soccer. He has kind wife (who weighs 40 pounds more than she did on their Wedding day), a $340,000 mortgage, $40,000/year tuition bill and a load of stress working in the corrupt, bureaucratic nightmare that is Washington. Now, he's probably haven't had a beautiful 21 year old woman talk to him in the last decade.

Suddenly, after 8 months of the Capitol Hill grind, this gorgeous blond approaches him in a lounge. She takes an interest in his work, laughs at his jokes and they share some drinks. She makes him feel strong and intelligent and...manly. She does it with her feminie charms. She has an hourglass figure, long legs, just enough cleavage, a beautiful smile and prefect teeth. The kind of pearly whites you see in a movie star.

They ends up in bed with her and although, he loves his wife, he gives in to this temptation. after all, his wife in Michigan. And it's just him and this unbelievable woman.

Little that he know, this woman is a paid professional. A high end prostitute who works for an operative of The Generic Right Wing Group (a conservative think tank with strong ties to Republican Congressional leadership.) Maybe they have a camera in the hotel room. Or maybe she is just some random young woman who is turned on by power. Women often are drawn to men of power. And men are often stupid. Nevertheless, if someone finds out about the affair, it can be used to control the Congressman. I suspect that this is one of the many ways political parties keep Congressmen (and Congresswomen) in line.

So I second VandeHei's warning. Congressmen, use your head! The bigger one.

Thursday, November 11, 2010

Postal Service, BlogTV and Robots!

I'll be on blog TV on Sunday at 8pm ET. I'll be answering questions and talking about the prepping for an economic collapse as well as current events. Only blogtv members will be able to participate in the chat. Callers can call me via Skype (User ID:rkaiger). Click on the link below to find the chatroom to listen.


Anyway, it looks like the U.S. Postal Service is in danger of becoming an even greater money eater than Fannie Mae. We just found out that the Postal Service lost $8.5 billion in the 2010 fiscal year. Is this year an anomaly?

Not really. The Postal Service lost $2.8 billion in 2008 and $3.8 billion in 2009. The economy is definitely killing the service, but it's a needed service. It's far more useful than Fannie Mae. This is a keep part of the retail economy. For example, is the nation's largest online retailer and it ships a lot of items through USPS, so if the Postal Service dies, a big part of online retail will follow suite.

You guys know that I'm a sucker for a good robot story. A robot is being used for a play in Toyko. It centers around a android caretaker who sites poetry to a dying woman. Very strange, but kind of cool. Watch the video below.

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Benanke! CEASE and DESIST!

By Reginald Kaigler (DEMCAD)

I'm not going to comment on the rumors of a national banking shut down, because I've already made two videos on it, but it does look as if the Federal Reserve has renewed its efforts to destroy America. In addition to the 600 billion dollars of quantitative easing (printing money out of thin air), the Fed will buy 105 billion dollars in treasury notes in December. Basically, the snake is eating its tail.

Blogger Karl Denninger is calling for Bernanke's firing. Unfortunately, the President isn't listening.

Denniger wrote, "I, and a few others, warned you in advance - when you re-nominated this jackass and even before, based on his bald-faced lies to Congress and you, along with his near-perfect record of being dead flat wrong about damn near everything.....Mr. President: Get that ******* out of office NOW."

Obama knew what he was doing when he hired this clown. Obama could have dumped this guy, but he choose to nominate a man who was a proven failure.

Don't take my word for it, read this February 14th, 2008 CNNmoney article "Paulson, Bernanke: Slow growth ahead". At this point, both Bernanke and Paulson claimed that the U.S. economy was going to avoid a recession in 2008. By April, Bernanke had to admit that a recession was possible. Keep in mind, the recession supposedly began in late 2007.

Some think about that as you read Bernanke's words from a April 7th, 2007 Reuter's story,

"Much necessary economic and financial adjustment has already taken place, and monetary and fiscal policies are in train that should support a return to growth in the second half of this year and next year."

Growth in the second half of 2008? WRONG!

He also though that the recession was over in September 2009. And judging by the NBER's definition, he was right. They define a recession as a contradiction in GDP. I'm a realist. I define a recession as a contradiction in jobs, wealth and the standard of life for the majority of the population. If this contradiction lasts more than two years, I call it a depression.

I don't care about GDP when I can't find a job! I don't care about GDP when I have a college degree, own 50,000 dollars and work for 8 dollars per hour! I don't care about GDP when I'm 50 years old and I'm unemployed and living off of my retirement.

Ben Bernanke has been wrong about almost everything. Zero percent interest rates will not save us. Printing money out of thin air will not save us. He's needs to stop before he destroys this nation.

At this point, I think the dollar's collapse is inevitable, but I will second Denniger's call for President Obama to fire Ben Bernanke.


Note: You can find more social and political commentary on my youtube channel (DEMCAD).

Youtube Channels

General Tom McInerney: It's a Missile, Not an Airplane!

Former three star General Tom McInerney, refuted the government's claimed that the mystery object was a airplane. As you know, this object appeared to be a missile and let a plume in the sky on November 9th, 2010. McInerney was certain that this was a missile. He appeared on Fox News stating that he has flew planes for 35 years and is certain that the object in question is not a plane. He believes that it was launched from a submarine.

"I am absolutely certain that that is not an aircraft."

NORAD is almost certainly lying. The General believes it could be a U.S. operation.

I think it's a former missile. Probably from China. "Why?" you ask. Because if it were an American secret operation, they wouldn't launch it near one of the biggest cities in America.

Mystery missile was an Airplane?

The U.S. government now claims that the object of the mysterious object off the coast of California on November 9th, 2010 was an airplane.

Dr. Michio Kaku, professor of physics at City University of New York argued that since the object seemed to change directions, it could not be a ballistic missile, because BM can't change directions. Frankly, it didn't seem to change directions in the video I saw.

Former Deputy Secretary of Defense Robert Ellsworth was believed it could have been a test firing of an ICBM (intercontinental ballistic missile) from a U.S. submarine. Russia Today spoke with Military expert Viktor Mizin about the object and he believed that it was a ballistic missile launched from an underwater submarine.

"I think that it's a great embarrassment by the American military to show that with all of the billions spent on national defense, the United States is vulnerable to these kinds of attacks."

So Was this an accidental missile launch? A show of force from a foreign power? A bullying tactic by the U.S. military?

That flash from the object didn't seem consistent with what I've seem from aircrafts in the past.

Revolutions are Violent!

By Reginald Kaigler (Youtuber DEMCAD)

Political cartoonist Ted Rall is convinced that America needs a revolution. Rall appeared on MSNBC's The Dylan Ratigan Show to discuss the broken political system and the impending need for a radical change. Although, he believes that violence should be the tool of last resort.

Rall said,

"We have a real unemployment rate of almost 20%. The economy is in deep trouble. People are being thrown out of their homes. Over 10 million of them. The planet is in trouble. This is unsustainable."

Damn, right! But the problem is that the American people are too scared to challenge their masters. Look at what's happening at the airports. People are being forced to subject their body's to the radiation of full body x-ray scanners. That couldn't possibly be good for their health. And if they refuse, they are physically violated by TSA workers. Does this strike you as a population that will defend itself?

Let me make myself clear. I never seek violence, but that doesn't mean that I would let anyone take my life away. If the government tries to hurt me, I will do whatever it takes to protect myself. Revolutions are inheritable violent. Revolutions are a power struggle. And government don't give up power. If the people want the power, they will have to reclaim it. I no longer believe in an intellectual revolution. I don't see the Republicans and Democrats or any third party doing anything about this mess. The only question is whether Americans will do something.

"Nothing will radicalize a citizen more than getting thrown out of their home by a bank that just paid its CEO a bigger raise this year than before. Nothing is going to radicalize you more than not being able to feed your kid."

Perhaps, he is right. Maybe people will get angry and stand up to the federal government. But at this point, I doubt it. I think people will get angry and kill one another. Look at what's happening in the black community. Racists cops beat and murder black males quite often, but when we get violent, who do we hurt? The banks have been screwing blacks over for decades, but who do we shoot? We kill each other. Some when this unsustainable system collapses, it's very likely that Americans will blame each other instead of looking at the Federal Reserve.

Earlier this year, I was convinced that the American people would revolt. As of November 10th, 2010, it looks like I was wrong. I don't see any meaningful political change. And I highly doubt that the American people would have the balls to fight the government. Frankly, I don't have much to lose. I'm a poor, black, 29 year old college grad who never had enough resources to worry about losing anything. I never really felt apart of this country. For all of the life, I've always been a "nigger" living in America. So watching this country collapse will not have the same effect on me as most people who consider themselves to be Americans. Perhaps Americans have a greater attachment and investment in this country's future. Perhaps they will surprise me.

Anything is possible. What do you think?

Tuesday, November 9, 2010

Mystery Missile/Object in California?

CBS affiliate KCBS capture a mysterious object launching into the sky off the coast of California. Most people assumed that it was a missile or a rocket. But it's slow speed made some people doubt that it was a missile. At first, the military claimed that they didn't know if it was a friendly or enemy missile, then after 12 hours of speculation by bloggers across the world, the military is claiming that it isn't a missile. The military had no clue. And now, LiveScience is claiming that it was likely a jet contrail. Well, why didn't our missile figure that out.

As of 12:00am ET November 10th, this is what we know.

Ian Gregor, a spokesman for the Federal Aviation Administration said, "We did not approve any commercial space launches in that area for Monday, and any additional information should come from NORAD. That's pretty much all I can say right now." U.S. Missile Defense Agency has gone on record to say that it is "not an MDA test or launch." NORAD is also clueless. No agency within the U.S. government seems to be able to explain what's going on. So I'm asking you.

What do you this this is in the video?

Is this a UFO, chemtrail, missile, rocket, military experiment, commercial aircraft?

Notice the flash in the original video. Check it out yourself.

And watch my video commentary on the whole situation.


Saturday, November 6, 2010

Psyops: False Flag, Warships and Nuclear Holocaust!

Today, Obama began his international tour through India. He announced a trade deal with India that may produce tens of thousands of jobs for Americans. If this is true, I welcome the good news. But at this point, I don't believe anything he says. Speaking of which, I don't buy the rumors that Obama will be bringing 34 warships with him on his trip to India. This rumor is based on a infor from the Trust of India, a source I wouldn't trust. The Examiner is also running with this, but the Pentagon has outright rejected the notion, calling it "comical."

There's be a recent wave of disinformation over the last 3 days. First, Clif High (of the webbot project) claimed that a tipping point was approaching and that the tension would start to build on November 5th, 2000 2:30pm PT, then a conspiracy video about a possible terrorist attack surfaces on youtube. What's next? The video claims that the Fox tv series "The Simpsons" predicted the events of September 11th, 2001 and was now forecasting a nuclear attack on a major U.S. city. If you want the silly details, I'll provide the video below.

In the episode, a nuclear explosion is created by the police, sending a clock into Homer Simpson's yard. The clock has a hand on the 11 and the 6. The author of the video claim that the outline of the clock represents the number 10. So when you put the numbers 6, 11 and 10 together, what do you get? 11-6-10. The author thinks there could be a false flag attack on 11-6-10.

Why not 6-11-10 or 10-6-11? This is the type of paranoid foolishly that arises every fall. Remember last year when a crazy pastor said that there was an atomic bomb underneath Washington D.C. and that it was set to go off on October 25th, 2009. Well, that day came and pass. Watch the video below.

This is fear-mongering of the worse kind.

Now, people are worked up over a nuclear scare on November 6th, 2010. Let me be clear, I did (and still do) expect a terrorist (false flag) event and a dollar collapse this year. I made my prediction as a guess based on current events last year. I never claimed to be a pyshic or an expert. I was making an educated guess.

But there's a big difference between me saying that I am concerned about this happening and the scare-mongering on the net. I encourage people to prepare for an emergency in an empowering way. I don't try to scare people with baseless claims. There is no evidence that someone is going to set off a nuclear bomb on November 6th, 2010. Absolutely none. This video is based on paranoid, not facts. And I'm sick of it. It's ridiculous and counter-productive. I also think it's interesting that the 34-warships-to-India article was being used to support the "6 November 2010: False Flag Attack POSSIBLE PREDICTIVE PROGRAMMING" video. The fear is spreading based on misinformation.

If I had to guess, I would have to guess that this is a pysops (Psychological Operation). Someone is trying to pull our collective chains. I think the controllers (power elite) put this nonsense out there to keep us in a state of fear, so that they can better control us. This is also a good tactic to use if someone was actually planning a false flag, because they could spread so much false information that no one would be able to discover any real information.

Wednesday, November 3, 2010

What's NEXT for America?!

I was wrong about a couple of races. I wrong about Nevada being smart enough to ditch Harry Reid, but I was right about virtually everything else. I correctly predicted that the Republicans would gain 60 seats in the House, but was wrong about my 9 to 10 seat gain in the Senate. The Democrats' money machine helped them limit their loses in the Senate. The good thing about the Senate is that because the races are so expensive, the incumbent can use his or her clout to collect more corporate cash and flood the expensive airwaves with ads. This helped a number of Democrats.

Nevertheless, Tuesday's elections were a disaster for Democrats. Not only did this electoral tidal wave eclipse the Republican Revolution of 1994, but it gave the GOP 6 more Senate seats and will pave the way for the GOP to reclaim the White House, Senate and House in 2012.

I say this because many people seem to believe it was a repeat of 1994. That is not the case. In 1994, we didn't have 17-22% of the population out of work. The U3 official unemployment wasn't 9.6% and the recession was long over. Obama will not have that advantage in 1996. Clinton won the election, because the average American saw an improvement in their income and lifestyle. Based on the 41 million people on food stamps, record unemployment and decline in business, the average American will not be reliving that experience.

The 2010 Exit Polls told the story.


60% of whites voted Republican. No Democrat is going to get elected with just 37% of the white vote. 37% isn't even close.


The majority of the voters were women and more of them voted Republican (49%) than Democrat (48%). So don't expect women to rescue Obama in 2012. 56% of women voted for Obama in 2008. He needs to get more support than his party did if he expects to get re-elected. He's probably going to need at least 52%. 53 or 54% if he continues to struggle with men.

Democrats still dominated among Latinos. However, they saw a 7 point drop from 2008.

60% of White Independents voted Republican, compared to 34% who voted for Democrats.

Here's the wildest poll.
Has anyone in your household lost a job or been laid off in the last two years?
House Vote Democrat House Vote Republican
Yes (31%) 50% 48%
No (69%) 45% 53%

Review the 2008 EXIT POLLS

The good news for Obama is that Presidential elections are about match-ups. Yeah, kinda like a NBA playoff game. Or a boxing match. Except the players in this contest have no talent. The American people select their leaders based on the economy (the misconception that the President can make the economy better or worse) and personality (the candidate who lies in the most convincing matter). If the average Joe or Jane were smarter and more informed, I would declared Obama a lame duck today. But if Bush and Reid can get re-elected, there's no reason why Obama can't.

Do you think Obama will get re-elected? I think he has a 40% chance of being re-elected. If I had to predict the next President, I would predict Mitch Daniels, Rick Perry or Jeb Bush to be the next President. Would if matter if Obama is re-elected or replaced? Not really.

SIDE NOTE: I think Obama would benefit from a terrorist attack. A nuclear bomb would be most useful because of the shock factor. And since Obama is going to be leaving D.C. and the rest of the politicians will not be there either. Well, I'm just saying. November 2010 would be a good opportunity for the controllers if they are evil enough to do murder a million innocent people. Why a terrorist attack? If it worked for Bush, why wouldn't the controllers try it for Obama? Obama could also use a war as a distraction. I would hate to see this happen, but I wouldn't be surprised.

Tuesday, November 2, 2010

DEMCAD on BlogTV Tonight (Election Night)

DEMCAD (Reginald Kaigler)

Youtuber Yankeeprepper advises his viewers to collect the YUKON M1950 Multi fuel stove to heat their homes in case of an emergency. I can't wait to get mine.

By the way, I'll be on BLOG TV tonight (Nov. 2) at 9pm ET (6pm PT). Check here to join. And you can catch me on twitter.

Monday, November 1, 2010

2010 Election: There Will Be Blood

By (DEMCAD) Reginald Kaigler

For those of you who care. I'll be tweeting tomorrow on election night starting at 8pm ET.

Anyway, the Democrats are in big trouble. It's uglier by the hour. Check out

Dems 167 seats
GOP 224 seats
Toss Up 44 seats

Seriously, when you look at the turn out models, my predictions are looking better and better.

I think the GOP will clear +60 seats easily. If that happens, the Dems will have about 194.

When you look at the points, 194 isn't even the worse case scenario.

They could easily lose 70 seats. The Democrats would have to win 30 out of the 44 toss up seats just to get to 197. And judging by Gallup's turnout party ID polls, that doesn't look remotely realistic. Gallup's generic ballot poll of 1,539 likely voters shows 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the GOP candidate and 40% to 42% for the Dems. 15-percentage-point lead among likely voters. 15 POINTS. Wow! When polling registered voters, the GOP only has a 4% advantage. But the likely voters are more relevant than the registered voters.

At this point, my 60-seat prediction doesn't seem very rosy for the GOP. It's appears to be ... conservative.

NEVADA (Sharron Angle v. Harry Reid)

This race is still a tie, with Angle holding a slim (statistically insignificant) lead in the PPP (Angle +1) and FOX News/POR-Rasmussen (angle +3) polls. These are likely voters. The Public Policy Polling shows that Reid has a 50-46 lead with early voters, but there is evidence that the poll maybe too optimistic for Reid.

Early voting is showing the GOP closing the registration gap. There are 60,000 more registered Democrats in Nevada than Republicans. Democrats only had a 6,000 vote advantage in early voting.

The PPP shows that the race is widening for the people who wil vote tommorrow. Angle leads by a 48-40 margin.

So I'm calling it. Harry Reid is toast.

WASHINGTON (Dino Rossi vs. Patty Murray)

I maybe wrong about this one. That Washington Senate seat is too call to close. The GOP candidate, Rossi, is putting up a better fight than I expected. The race is a dead heat. I still think Murray (D) will pull this one out. She was leading for most of October and i think she will benefit from early voting.

PENNSYLVANIA (Joe Sestak vs. Pat Toomey)

Quinnipiac has GOP Senate candidate (Pennsylvania) Toomey leading Democrat Sestak 50 to 45. Toomey has a commanding leads 13 point lead among independents. Republican Tom Corbett also has a 10 point lead in the Governor's race, so this will only make things worse for Sestak.
With Toomey capturing 52% of the independent vote compared to Sestak's 39 percent, I think it's safe to call this race a lock for the GOP.

ILLINOIS (Giannoulias vs. Kirk)

Both PPP (D) and FOX News/POR-Rasmussen have Republican Kirk up by 4%. By since this is a blue state, I'll give an extra 2% for turnout. But I still think Giannoulias will lose. First, Obama popularity is decreasing in his own state. Second, people are angry about Obamacare. Third, Giannoulias is a white Democrat battling both a Republican and a black liberal (LeAlan Jones). Green Party LeAlan Jones gaining 6% of the electorate. If you're a white Democrat, you can't afford to have a black liberal in the race when you're battling a Republican in the middle of a anti-Democratic wave election. Democrats need blacks to win, period!

According to FOX News/POR-Rasmussen, Kirk is polling 46% and Giannoulias is carrying 42%. kirk has the edge in favorable and voter loyalty poll questions.

CONNECTICUT (McMahon vs. Blumenthal)

This Senate race is over! McMahon is toast. She's down by 9 to 11 points. Congratulations Blumenthal.

COLORADO (Buck vs. Bennet)

This race is close. PPP has Republican Ken Buck up by just one point. It's a statistical tie. But Buck's approval ratings is significantly higher than Michael Bennet’s job performance. Buck has a 44% approval rating, which isn't impressive. But with only 39% of the likely voters approving of Michael Bennet’s job performance, I don't see how he can get re-elected. Here's a rule that has served me well: When you're approval ratings are in the thirties, you lose!

The only exception is when you're running against Hitler. Actually, even Hitler won some elections. Sorry Bennet. You're out!