Saturday, July 13, 2013
George Zimmerman Prediction
By Reginald Kaigler (DEMCAD)
So here's my George Zimmerman prediction. I can see it going both ways, but I actually think he's closer to a guilty verdict what most people think. His story doesn't pass the smell test. He claimed to be driving in his vehicle when he spotted Trayvon Martin walking through his neighborhood. Zimmerman called 911 and claimed Martin looked suspicious, yet Zimmerman had no probable cause of that Martin committed a crime or even that a crime was committed.
In almost all states, citizens have the legal right to both conceal carry (with a permit) and make a citizen's arrest. It varies from state to state. For example, in Michigan you can only make an arrest for felonies if you have probable cause. In Colorado, you can make arrests for both misdemeanor and felony offenses. No there was no evidence that Martin committed a crime before Zimmerman followed him in his car and fought Zimmerman.
I don't know what happened that night. Maybe Zimmerman freaked Martin out by following him and Martin attacked. Although, I have some serious doubts that Zimmerman would yell her help when he was the one with a gun. And the kickboxer instructor's claim that Zimmerman couldn't fight effective, seemed very silly after learning that Zimmerman trained in kickboxing for a 18 months.
Drama at George Zimmerman trial as Trayvon Martin's parents walk out of court after jury is shown graphic pictures of their son's body
Maybe Zimmerman snapped or maybe he acted foolishly and started a fight he couldn't win. I just think when you have a jury of six women and the defendant is presenting a story this flawed, there is a real risk of conviction.
On the other hand, the defense has done a good job of creating doubt, Remember, the burden of proof is on the prosecution. They must prove Zimmerman is guilty of manslaughter or 2nd degree murder beyond all reasonable doubt. And I simply think they failed. The 911 tape is so important. Even Trayvon Martin's dad couldn't tell if the person yelling in the 911 tape was his son. That says a lot. A jury could easily conclude that its reasonable doubt.
Do I think Zimmerman is innocent? Absolutely not. He followed the kid even after being told by the 911 operator that it wasn't necessary. he claimed to exit the safety of his vehicle to see what street he was on, but how could he not know when he had been doing neighborhood watch for so long. Why wouldn't he know his own neighborhood. Especially after making over 60 calls in a gated community to 911. And why would he leave a car to find a street sign? He was already in a car. Why didn't he simply drive to the nearest sign? It simply doesn't pass the smell test.
And don't even get me started on Zimmerman's claim that Martin stood over him and said "You're going to die tonight motherf***er". Wow, that sounds like a cheesy 90s action movie line. It was wise of the defense to stop him from getting on the stand and telling this story. It's not believable and the defense has already created doubt. But is it reasonable doubt?
The defense had a witness claiming Trayvon was on top of Zimmerman. It helps support the claim that there was a struggle. But it doesn't clear Zimmerman, because he initiate the conflict by following Martin.
The prosecution for O.J. Simpson was incredibly incompetent and he walked. This team may not be as bad, but it is likely that Zimmerman will walk. But I have a feeling that there is a decent chance that this all-female jury may convict him, simply because he followed Trayvon, shot him and lied about what happened. If it was Zimmerman who was yelling help, should he be acquitted. When if he started it and simply lost the fight and then cried for help? Can you start a fight, lose and then shot someone in self defense?
Bottomline: It's clear Zimmerman shot him and lied about what exactly happened. I think he is guilty of manslaughter, but the prosecution blew the case. If the jury sticks to the law: the verdict will be NOT GUILTY (of second degree murder). If they use common sense, it will be GUILTY (of manslaughter).
Will there be riots?
If it's a NOT Guilty verdict on 2nd Degree Murder or Manslaughter, there will be NO RIOTS. A rally or protest, but no riot. I think the media is hyping this up to provoke a riot and they will fail.